BigHook2002: Decisions that Shape Networks
Woods Hole, Massachusetts, September 4-6, 2002
an production


SessionLogs for:

Thursday September 5, 10:30 AM to Noon,
Session 3b: Decisions and Consequences, continued -- Odlyzko, Shirky


[11:16:20]<Elin>BEGINNING SESSION 2
[11:17:15]<kamman>number of investors who I have sent adrew´s absolutely brilliant stuff = about 250
[11:17:20]<Elin>We are saving these posted comments for David´s Bighook site and documentation.
[11:17:31]<Elin>We´ll organize the links
[11:17:41]<kamman>number of investors who have actually read it = I guess about 15
[11:19:20]<Gillmor>Can´t remember the last time I used the Yellow Pages...
[11:19:47]<kaminski>Andrew´s home page: http://www.dtc.umn.edu/~odlyzko/
[11:24:05]<Shirky>Weinberger: those numbers are the overhand the ILECs don´t want to see exposed
[11:24:07]<kamman>imagine where we would be if the cable companies had built out a network capable of 2 way service from the get-go...
[11:24:13]<Shirky>overhand == overhang
[11:24:56]<Shirky>not sure that would have helped, since the cable companies were regulated as locla monopolies
[11:24:59]<Elin> YEAH! /greencard/
[11:25:11]<kamman>also, if brand new national buildouts are so economicaly impossible, how did we get this cable network in the first place?
[11:25:33]<Robles>Good point. /greencard/
[11:25:43]<Shirky>one monopoly at a time
[11:25:48]<Robles>Right
[11:25:57]<Robles>Then big roll ups
[11:26:14]<Thatcher>Doesn´t that lead to a discussion on the real B/W needs?
[11:26:47]<Elin>The cable companies promised all sorts of advanced services to get granted the local monopolies....and never delivered.
[11:26:49]<Beckemeyer>oil more profit than telco in raw dollars or percentage?
[11:31:36]<kaminski>large collection of old gasoline company signs: http://web.ics.purdue.edu/~cirillo/petro/gashigh.htm
[11:32:44]<kaminski>huge collection of old gas stations signs: http://web.ics.purdue.edu/~cirillo/petro/gashigh.htm
[11:34:15]<kaminski>Huge collection of old gas station signs: http://web.ics.purdue.edu/~cirillo/petro/gashigh.htm
[11:34:23]<Elin>test
[11:34:52]<Elin>Network is up.
[11:35:03]<Elin>You may need to click "Leave" and sign back in.
[11:35:18]<Elin>We seem to crash each time two VPN´s get started.
[11:35:30]<kamman>theassumption that it takes lots of smart people to run networks at the edge is questionable
[11:35:37]<Elin>If you have a VPN, please help us cordinate the use of VPN
[11:35:54]<Elin>We can probably set up little shifts during the breaks.
[11:35:55]<Clark>I don´t think the word is "run" as much as it is "help design"
[11:36:03]<Elin>Thank you.
[11:36:06]<Berry>How did edge/backbone ratio change in last 2 years? Were they more equal when all the investment decisions were made?
[11:36:18]<kamman>what you need to do is find a way for really stupid clueless people to run their edge networks
[11:36:31]<Michalski>and the corporate networks are essentially sunk costs
[11:36:32]<Shirky>napster did it
[11:36:54]<Michalski>that´s where you get free bandwidth. that and home DIY networks
[11:37:01]<kamman>good point mr shirky
[11:37:14]<Michalski>(free, of course is an exaggeration; but essentially free)
[11:37:26]<Shirky>thats whats coming, unless hollywood kills it -- user-configurable edge networks
[11:37:54]<Shirky>free =~ low cost, flat rate, e.g. free of mental transaction costs
[11:40:42]<kamman>scenario - microsoft uses its $$ to fund skypilot or the like and creates a nationwide rollout of 2 megabit service per household for $2 a month - BUT it only runs on MSFT software. Are we better off?
[11:41:25]<Clark>only if we live and trust MSFT (look around at all the macs here)
[11:42:09]<Elin>Interesting: Illegal monopolies are better businesses and more profitable.
[11:42:24]<Stout>more or less than last year?
[11:42:43]<Stout>black market?
[11:43:09]<Elin>More profitable than regulated businesses.
[11:43:10]<Clark>anarchy is where choice is
[11:45:49]<kaminski>new speaker: shirky
[11:46:33]<kamman>anarchy is where really thuggish people with guns rape and pillage nice people like us
[11:47:13]<Campbell>LogNote: T11 5:00
[11:48:25]<Elin>More readable thoughts?
[11:48:34]<Campbell>LogNote: DAT 31:00
[11:48:56]<kamman>wow - now the screen is shouting
[11:49:18]<Elin>too big?
[11:49:44]<Clark>a little easier to read thru some of the glare
[11:50:12]<Robles>Cool. Tim can you read the screen now?
[11:50:20]<Elin> /greencard/ /greencard/ /greencard/
[11:50:27]<Robles> /greencard/
[11:50:43]<kamman>for the record - congreagation dies in thelong run, communication is ultimate winner
[11:51:09]<kamman>good intercast plus digitality means you cant restrict people´s ability to share
[11:51:11]<Michalski>there are still subtle centers to these networks: the hosts of conversations, etc.
[11:51:34]<Comstedt> /greencard/
[11:52:32]<kamman>the more hollywood understands the challenge of "intercast" networks (eg. p2p) the further up thestacke they will try to go (ie. control thedevices)
[11:53:03]<Robles> /greencard/ I agree with you Kamman
[11:53:38]<Shirky>if streetcorner)
[11:53:52]<Black>re: intercast networks -- doesn´t the fact that aol is suffering show that people are already skirting centralized stuff?
[11:54:06]<Black>i mean why use aol if you can use google. it just takes a little sophistication
[11:54:14]<Shirky>if (streetcorner) { then starbucks}
[11:54:17]<Black>that´s what hollywood doesn´t think we have.
[11:54:30]<kaminski>elin: "me-to-me computing"
[11:54:41]<Shirky>wel, aol has always been two-faced: they tout content to theri advertisers, but their users have always prized email and chat
[11:55:06]<Michalski>how can I take a wireless device to a museum and get Greg´s tour of the collection?
[11:55:23]<Shirky>small pieces, loosely joined
[11:55:25]<Clark> /greencard/ thanks jerry
[11:55:48]<kaminski>location-based, user-generated content: http://www.haikuhaiku.com/
[11:56:37]<kamman>just note-taking there´s p2p computing and then there´s me2me computing - allow yourself to aintain a dialogue with yourself (e.g. we´re doing now
[11:57:15]<Shapiro>kinda of like the three degrees of Kevin Bacon - how do you find out all you and your friends know
[11:57:22]<Weinberger>I2I
[11:57:36]<Weinberger>I2I = me@me
[11:58:04]<kamman>if we´re the ones getting value of out intercast, maybe we shuld be paying?
[11:58:06]<Shapiro>the MCI Friends plan - platinum version
[11:58:13]<Weinberger>third try: I2I = me2me
[11:58:42]<Shirky>kamman: two minds wiht but a single thought...
[11:58:43]<kaminski>Reed´s Law: http://www.reed.com/gfn/
[11:59:19]<Robles>There is a good spatial database out now provided by Keyhole at http://www.earthviewer.com/
[11:59:54]<kaminski>shirky: intercast features user capture of residual value
[12:00:11]<Elin>Earthviewer is supports (on the business side) the integration of specific data with general data...great example.
[12:07:28]<Aizu>bighook2002-list@mindspring.com list address seems not working
[12:07:39]<Campbell>LogNote: DAT 53:00, T11 26:00
[12:08:00]<kamman>municipal networks - they will build it when they realize that they are losing businesses or not attracting new ones because broadband is a "critical" resource. same olde chicken andegg problem?
[12:08:20]<Michalski>there´s another reason why Napster and IM, which are still pretty difficult, are so popular: massive pent-up demand for what they offer
[12:13:35]<Campbell>test
[12:20:10]<Njoo>test
[12:20:48]<Turner>test
[12:53:34]<Campbell>test
[13:51:06]<Campbell>test
[13:54:50]<Campbell>LogNote: 4a DAT start ar
[13:55:17]<Campbell>Lognote: session 4a DAT start at 55:00
[13:56:37]<Campbell>LogNote: Session 4a cass T10 start at 26:22
[13:59:49]<Weinberger>(Interesting on filtering spam: http://www.paulgraham.com/spam.html )
[14:15:47]<Clark>Thanks DW
[14:15:57]<Clark>We were just talking about spam at lunch
[14:16:39]<Clark>http://motorola.com/canopy
[14:17:58]<kaminski>Blaise Pascal, Lettres Provinciales, 1657: "Je n´ai fait celle-ci plus longue que parce que je n´ai pas eu le loisir de la faire plus courte." (I have made this [letter] longer because I did not have the leisure to make it shorter.)
[14:18:14]<Weinberger>Excellent citation!
[14:19:22]<ORISTANO>Anyone who can quote dead Frenchmen in French is overeducated!
[14:19:40]<Clark>or has too much time logged in on the search engines
[14:19:54]<Weinberger>BTW, "time and tide waits for no man" first shows up in Chaucer but was probably a saying before then. http://www.xrefer.com/entry/637983
[14:21:03]<Freeburg>Hello
[14:21:04]<Isenberg>Hello World
[14:21:32]<Isenberg>hello
[14:21:54]<Weinberger>The world doesn
[14:22:01]<Isenberg>hello
[14:22:09]<Weinberger>[Damn Enter key!] The world is listening, David.
[14:22:18]<Isenberg> /greencard/