Sunday, November 07, 2004
E-voting: Diebold's GEMS system counted these ballots
I blogged on September 1, 2004, that Diebold's GEMS system was Diebold's smoking gun. Now this:
The State of Florida, for example, publishes a county-by-county record of votes cast and people registered to vote by party affiliation. Net denizen Kathy Dopp compiled the official state information into a table, available at http://ustogether.org/Florida_Election.htm, and noticed something startling.
While the heavily scrutinized touch-screen voting machines seemed to produce results in which the registered Democrat/Republican ratios largely matched the Kerry/Bush vote, in Florida's counties using results from optically scanned paper ballots - fed into a central tabulator PC and thus vulnerable to hacking – the results seem to contain substantial anomalies.
In Baker County, for example, with 12,887 registered voters, 69.3% of them Democrats and 24.3% of them Republicans, the vote was only 2,180 for Kerry and 7,738 for Bush, the opposite of what is seen everywhere else in the country where registered Democrats largely voted for Kerry.
In Dixie County, with 4,988 registered voters, 77.5% of them Democrats and a mere 15% registered as Republicans, only 1,959 people voted for Kerry, but 4,433 voted for Bush.
The pattern repeats over and over again - but only in the counties where optical scanners were used. Franklin County, 77.3% registered Democrats, went 58.5% for Bush. Holmes County, 72.7% registered Democrats, went 77.25% for Bush.
Yet in the touch-screen counties, where investigators may have been more vigorously looking for such anomalies, high percentages of registered Democrats generally equaled high percentages of votes for Kerry. (I had earlier reported that county size was a variable – this turns out not to be the case. Just the use of touch-screens versus optical scanners.)
More visual analysis of the results can be seen at us together.org/election04/FloridaDataStats.htm, and www.rubberbug.com/temp/Florida2004chart.htm. Note the trend line – the only variable that determines a swing toward Bush was the use of optical scan machines.
Comments:
One problem for conspiracy theorists (or maybe not), is that these counties voted the same way in the 2000 election.
http://www.usatoday.com/news/vote2000/cbc/flcbc.htm
And the registrations were just as tilted toward the democrats in 2000.
http://election.dos.state.fl.us/pdf/2000voterreg/2000genparty.pdf
Jeb Bush, in spite of the massive Democratic advantage in registration, won the governorship in 2002 by 14 points...
BTW, Democratic registration in Florida over Republican registration was higher in 2000. In fact, in the South, there are many places where Democratic registration can be deceiving. Oklahoma Democratic registration outnumber Republican registration, and some places like Texas and Lousiana still have a lot of Democrats supporting local and state candidates but voting Republican in national elections...
Democrats in the South (at least in Texas) are conservative, bible-thumping types... When the Democrats in the State legislature escaped to Oklahoma and New Mexico in attempts to block gerrymandering by Republicans in the House, they even held Bible studies and stuff...
Democrat != liberal
As for the exit polls showing "Kerry won, and won big". Yes, he was certainly ahead in the early exit polls during the day, but those exit polls only count those voters who voted early in the day. The final exit polls can be found here:
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/FL/P/00/epolls.0.html
where Bush is clearing ahead. Obviously there as a demographic swing later in the day.
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http://www.usatoday.com/news/vote2000/cbc/flcbc.htm
And the registrations were just as tilted toward the democrats in 2000.
http://election.dos.state.fl.us/pdf/2000voterreg/2000genparty.pdf
Jeb Bush, in spite of the massive Democratic advantage in registration, won the governorship in 2002 by 14 points...
BTW, Democratic registration in Florida over Republican registration was higher in 2000. In fact, in the South, there are many places where Democratic registration can be deceiving. Oklahoma Democratic registration outnumber Republican registration, and some places like Texas and Lousiana still have a lot of Democrats supporting local and state candidates but voting Republican in national elections...
Democrats in the South (at least in Texas) are conservative, bible-thumping types... When the Democrats in the State legislature escaped to Oklahoma and New Mexico in attempts to block gerrymandering by Republicans in the House, they even held Bible studies and stuff...
Democrat != liberal
As for the exit polls showing "Kerry won, and won big". Yes, he was certainly ahead in the early exit polls during the day, but those exit polls only count those voters who voted early in the day. The final exit polls can be found here:
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/FL/P/00/epolls.0.html
where Bush is clearing ahead. Obviously there as a demographic swing later in the day.
# posted by 
: 11/09/2004 2:22 AM
: 11/09/2004 2:22 AM
