Wednesday, October 18, 2006

 

Does Senator Stevens have 57 votes?

I've been asked a couple of times where I got the 57-vote number in the preceding posting, and I don't remember. It is my general impression -- from the press and blog postings last July (like this one or this one) that followed the June 28 Commerce Committee vote -- that 57 was the number.

One article mentions the following Republican hold-outs who think a vote for the Stevens bill (S. 2686) might burden their chance for re-election, but might vote for the bill after the November 7 election: Rick Santorum (R-PA), Lincoln Chafee (R-RI), Mike DeWine, (R-OH), Ben Nelson (D-NE), and Jim Talent (R-MO). A Daily Kos piece suggests that Blanche Lincoln (D-AR), Ben Nelson (D-NE) and Joe Lieberman (I-CT) are votes in play.

Savetheinternet.com lists 29 senators as pro-net-neutrality with 14 opposed, 53 unknown and 4 "waffling." A pro-neutrality vote is very different than a pro-telecom-bill vote. There are 39 Republican "unknown's" on the savetheinternet list. All of these are likely to vote for S. 2686. Add these to the fourteen anti-neuts and that's 53. If there's 4 wafflers, that's 57 -- but this includes Joe Lieberman.

I could be wrong about the 57. And things could have changed since July! I'm digging through the archives. If you can help me, please leave a comment, send email (isen at isen dot com), or hit me on Skype, AIM or Y!chat -- it's david_isenberg on all three.

The thing that makes me nervous is that Lieberman says he looks forward to considering S. 2686 in this congress! To do that, Stevens would have to have 60 votes. Does Lieberman know something we don't?

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