Friday, February 02, 2007
I knew it all along (yawn)
Gordon Cook just found a piece of mine from December 2001 (remember 2001?) where I laid out a scenario in which
This, my friends, is not prescience on my part. Instead, it is testimony to the power of scenario thinking.
" . . . the open, end-to-end Internet is gradually whittled away by a multi-front campaign employing massive lobbying, scare tactics, endless litigation and other techniques available to the big telcos. The idea that telecom facilities are Common Carriers (i.e., open to all comers under public and equitable terms) is replaced by a regime of Private Commercial Arrangements in which big players are selectively advantaged and small, innovative players are squeezed out . . . the telcos and their allies in government and industry use the new technology to keep the lid on potentially disruptive communications technology, to ensure that innovation within and around the communications network is predictable and approved . . . "
Technorati Tags: NetworkNeutrality, ScenarioPlanning
Comments:
power of scenario thinking ... i like that ... can you imagine all telcos being able to merge togethere in one parent company? ... i got the idea from this quote ... .... ... "It is apparent that the decades immediately ahead will see the integration of telephone, television, and computer technologies into a single, unified system of communication and information, whose inexpensive appliances will be available on a mass scale." .... ... .... so the quote got me to thinking about unified system of communication .... .... what would that be like ? ... ... smile .... ... in a business model it would be all telcos meeting at a central place .... to swap minutes and payments ... ... ... then one day i ran into nttl.ob {yes I am a shareholder} .... which has a subsidary avop.net ... a place where telcos can met & swap minutes & payments ... ... anyway ... sometimes small, innovative players are dedicated enough to bring revolutionary changes to the market place...
Interesting post, although I put the blame of the lack of innovators in the market rather than government regulation. The only thing the government really has killed off is mandating the ILECS to resell their unbundled services. Reselling, no matter how you cut it, is NOT innovation. I posted a more complete response on IPUrbia, a telecom blog.
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